Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Nationals Baseball: The Greinke Options

Nationals Baseball: The Greinke Options

First, you really overvalue the baseball trade market. Look at what recent pitchers better than Grienke went for:

Roy Oswalt for J.A. Happ outfielder Anthony Gose and shortstop Jonathan Villar.

Seriously, J.A. Happ and two unknown prospects. A finesse lefty and two not even close to ML ready prospects. And that was during the season when teams are supposed to be bidding wildly for starters.

Cliff Lee for Justin Smoak Blake Beavan and Josh Lueke, and second baseman/outfielder Matt Lawson. Smoak is a ML ready guy but his rookie year didn't set the world on fire now did it. And Leuke's some kind of criminal! Throw in two other unknowns and you have the modern day Sandy Koufax!

Point being, the trade market isn't what you think it is. Remember this: the team that gets Grienke also gets his financial obligation . . .two years $27m which the Royals would now not have to pay. That's an additional asset to the Royals which drives down the prospect cost.

So your Options A & B are ludicrous. Never happen. Nor should they.

Would the Royals look askance at a Norris, Espinosa, Milone package? I think not. It doesn't contain a certifiable breakout star but it does contain three pieces almost certain to help you on the major league level for the next five to six years at minimal cost too.

It would come down to what the Royals wanted. Do they want one prime near ML ready prospect and couple of lottery tickets or do they want a solid return on investment across several prospects? Might be surprised what Dayton Moore would do.

Friday, October 15, 2010

The Nationals Aren't Really Going After Cliff Lee, Are They? - Half Smokes - SB Nation DC

The Nationals Aren't Really Going After Cliff Lee, Are They? - Half Smokes - SB Nation DC

Why not?

Why are the commentariat all damn sure this Cliff Lee thing is a head fake, a fraud?

Aside from the fact that it would be a insanely stupid thing to do to give a 30+ year old pitcher a long term big money contract in the first place, why couldn't the Nats sign Lee?

Do these people not know that the team is owned by a billionaire? With a B. Not an M a B.

The gap between the Nats payroll currently and the payroll the Nats can and should support is at least $20m and closer to $40m. You can fit a Cliff Lee in there.

Quite frankly, the Nats SHOULD be considered as a destination for big money FAs. They have a huge media market and a fan base with loads of disposable income.

We can argue about spots on the success curve and stuff like that. I don't really see why they'd want to sign Lee. But to say they can't is ridiculous.

Now trading for a Grienke or a Matt Garza . . .

Monday, October 4, 2010

The 2010 Season

Just saw ESPN's retrospective of the 2010 season on Baseball Tonight.

All the perfect games, retirements and big moments.

The sum total of National's appearances: I counted 4.

Strasburg of course.

And not one, not two but three separate Nyjer Morgan meltdowns! Yeah Nats fans the enduring legacy of a 69 win season: a mediocre CF with anger management issues!